2010 Hurricane Season: Slight Up-tick
February 5, 2010
After a quiet 2009 atlantic tropical season, all focus now points towards the 2010 season, which officially begins June 1.
Klotzbach and Gray have already released their early season forecast, calling for 11 – 16 named storms, of which 6 – 8 will form into hurricanes, and 3 – 5 which will reach intense status (category 3+). This indicates a slightly above “average” season. K/G is observing slightly higher SST’s forecasted for the beginning of the tropical season, along with a subsidence of the current moderate/significant El Niño conditions as we move to the hurricane season (though some of the CPC evaluations suggest a chance that it persists through the end of spring).
The Weather Research Center has also released their early forecast, calling for 8 named storms, and 5 hurricanes. WRC additionally forecasts a 90% chance of landfall in Western Florida, along with a 70% chance of landfall in Eastern Florida.
Check the Towers Watson Hurricane Blog (formerly Towers Perrin Hurricane Blog) for updated seasonal forecast info, headlines from the 2010 National Hurricane Conference, and public articles of interest.
Hurricane Ida making landfall in the U.S.
