93L or Alex? Ensemble Radar for Gulf Oil Observations
June 24, 2010
System Invest 93L continues to dump heavy rains over Haiti and Cuba today, as the NHC watches closely to see if the conditions improve (worsen) for tropical depression development.
The NHC is giving 93L a 40% chance of becoming a named storm, but only a 10% chance of ever reaching hurricane strength. There seems to be some model disagreement on whether a shear environment to the North will move away, or begin to affect the system. Additionally, the positive formation factors (upper level outflow and mid-level vorticity) should favor the system over the next 48 hours.
It also remains to be seen on the possible effects of passing over land.
Deepwater Horizon Oil SPill
NOAA has utilized their bevy of satellites to develop an Experimental Marine Pollution Surveillance Report (EMPSR). You can really get a sense of the extent of the oil slick from the imagery.
