Alex not quite HU-strength; 50% chance by 7PM Tuesday
June 29, 2010
Tropical Storm Alex is still not quite at hurricane strength (winds > 74 mph) according to the findings from the most recent hurricane hunter flight. Maximum sustained winds are currently being recorded at 70 mph.
The latest satellite imagery has shown some impressive convective thunderstorms building near the center of the low pressure, which may indicate the formation of a defined “eye” and further organization into hurricane strength.
Landfall is predicted to occur in northeastern Mexico and southern Texas on Wednesday night most likely exhibiting hurricane strength winds. The main threat from this storm will be heavy precipitation over the region, along with mild-to-moderate storm surge. A 5% chance of observed storm surge > 5 feet is predicted from Corpus Christi on south, and a 40 – 50% chance of 3+ feet storm surge near South Padre Island.
The current conditions are as follows:
10:00 AM CDT Tue Jun 29
Location: 22.7°N 93.1°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: NW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 982 mb
